He believes a lack of candidates for some areas makes transfers difficult to assess.
A lack of local candidates in larger constituancies is making the Midlands more unpredictable in this General Election.
Political analyst Laois Adrian Kavanagh thinks it makes transfers harder to forecast and could lead to some surprising results compared to 2016.
A number of areas including north Offaly are yet to see a local representative declare their candidacy.
Mr.Kavanagh says it's not to late for those undecided about running to do so: